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|a Loss of cultural world heritage and currently inhabited places to sea-level rise |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b Institute of Physics Publishing, |c 2014. |
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|a Environmental Research Letters Volume 9. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a The world population is concentrated near the coasts, as are a large number of Cultural World
Heritage sites, defined by the UNESCO. Using spatially explicit sealevel
estimates for the
next 2000 years and highresolution
topography data, we compute which current cultural
heritage sites will be affected by sealevel
rise at different levels of sustained future warming.
As indicators for the pressure on future cultural heritage we estimate the percentage of each
country’s area loss, and the percentage of current population living in regions that will be
permanently below sea level, for different temperature levels. If the current global mean
temperature was sustained for the next two millennia, about 6% (40 sites) of the UNESCO
sites will be affected, and 0.7% of global land area will be below mean sea level. These
numbers increase to 19% (136 sites) and 1.1% for a warming of 3 K. At this warming level,
3–12 countries will experience a loss of more than half of their current land surface, 25–36
countries lose at least 10% of their territory, and 7% of the global population currently lives in
regions that will be below local sea level. Given the millennial scale lifetime of carbon dioxide
in the atmosphere, our results indicate that fundamental decisions with regard to mankind’s
cultural heritage are required. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15061878/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/18/78/00001/FI15061878thm.jpg |
