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Loss of cultural world heritage and currently inhabited places to sea-level rise
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Permanent Link:
http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15061878/00001
Material Information
Title:
Loss of cultural world heritage and currently inhabited places to sea-level rise
Series Title:
Environmental Research Letters Volume 9
Creator:
Marzeion, Ben
Levermann, Anders
Publisher:
Institute of Physics Publishing
Publication Date:
2014
Language:
English
Subjects
Subjects / Keywords:
Climate Change
( lcsh )
Sea Level Rise
( lcsh )
UNESCO
( lcsh )
Cultural heritage
( lcsh )
Notes
Abstract:
The world population is concentrated near the coasts, as are a large number of Cultural World Heritage sites, defined by the UNESCO. Using spatially explicit sealevel estimates for the next 2000 years and highresolution topography data, we compute which current cultural heritage sites will be affected by sealevel rise at different levels of sustained future warming. As indicators for the pressure on future cultural heritage we estimate the percentage of each country’s area loss, and the percentage of current population living in regions that will be permanently below sea level, for different temperature levels. If the current global mean temperature was sustained for the next two millennia, about 6% (40 sites) of the UNESCO sites will be affected, and 0.7% of global land area will be below mean sea level. These numbers increase to 19% (136 sites) and 1.1% for a warming of 3 K. At this warming level, 3–12 countries will experience a loss of more than half of their current land surface, 25–36 countries lose at least 10% of their territory, and 7% of the global population currently lives in regions that will be below local sea level. Given the millennial scale lifetime of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, our results indicate that fundamental decisions with regard to mankind’s cultural heritage are required. ( English )
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Source Institution:
Florida International University
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