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|a A Unified Sea Level Rise Projection for Southeast Florida |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b Southeast Florida Regional Compact Climate Change, |c 2011. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a Southeast Florida with its populous coastal counties, subtropical environment, porous geology and low
topography is particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, especially sea level rise. At the
October 23, 2009 Southeast Florida (SE Fl) Regional Climate Leadership Summit, the local diversity in sea
level rise (SLR) projections was highlighted as a concern and a barrier to achieving regionally consistent
adaptation policies. As expressed by the SE Fl Regional Climate Change Compact Steering Committee,
the Climate Compact Counties (Monroe, Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach) recognized the critical
need to unify the existing local SLR projections to create a single regional SLR projection. Key
participants in developing the existing projections and other local scientists knowledgeable in the areas
of sea level rise and climate change were invited to participate as the Regional Climate Change Compact
Technical Ad hoc Work Group (Work Group). Their objective was to work toward developing a unified
SLR projection for the SE Florida region for use by the SE Fl Regional Climate Compact Counties and
partners.
Through a series of facilitated discussions, the Work Group reviewed the existing projections and the
current scientific literature related to SLR with particular emphasis on the impact of accelerated ice melt
on projections. The Work Group recommends that the SLR projection to be used for planning purposes
in the SE Florida region should be based on the Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) June 2009 Guidance
Document. The projection uses Key West tidal data as the foundation of the calculation with a reference
date of 2010 for sea level equals zero and two planning horizons including 2030 (USACE: 3-7 inches) and
2060 (USACE: 9-24 inches). The historic tidal and satellite altimetry data for the past few decades should
be illustrated on the unified projection graphic to provide perspective on the projected rate of change of
sea level. The Work Group recommends that the projection should be reviewed and possibly revised in
two years (2012).
While the projection to be used for planning purposes looks out 50 years, a scientific narrative for
beyond 2060 is also provided. This longer term vision describes the factors influencing sea level rise, the
scientific challenges and areas where information is still needed. This section serves as a reminder that
at any point in time in the coming decades, sea level rise is a continuing trend and not an endpoint.
Potential impacts to south Florida are also outlined. The shorter term planning horizons are critical to
develop the Regional Climate Action Plan and explore infrastructure options and design and adaptation
strategies. As scientists develop a better understanding of the potential sea level rise at the end of the
century, SE Fl community will need to adjust and adapt to the changing conditions. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a Miami-Dade County (Fla.). |
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|a Technical Ad Hoc Work Group. |
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|a Florida Documents Collection. |
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|a South Florida Collection. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15060965/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/09/65/00001/Technical Ad hoc Work Group_2011_A Unified Sea Level Rise Projection for Southeast Floridathm.jpg |
