Scenarios for the Keys
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Material Information

Title:
Scenarios for the Keys Climate Change and the Florida Keys-Fact Sheet 6
Creator:
Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary
NOAA Research and Monitoring Program
Publication Date:
Language:
English

Notes

Abstract:
The four original global scenarios published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 2000 were critically reviewed and updated for the project report. The question was posed whether the original IPCC storyline would have been written differently in 2010, and how current physical, economic and technological changes could influence the storyline. After establishing a global path through the 21st century the United States was brought into the global context before zooming in on the Florida Keys. Each scenario contains projections of average warming, sea‐level change, ocean acidification and change in the global economic product. These variables were used to derive projections for the Keys, based on a series of statistical relationships linking global and local conditions. Generally, sea‐level rise is recognized as the worst threat for the Florida Keys, and sea temperatures and acidification for the marine sanctuary. The projections for the Keys include population, remaining land area, coral cover, and total income in the Keys. These variables are shown on the summary chart to the right. The Keys stories derived from each global scenario are summarized below.

Record Information

Source Institution:
Florida International University
Rights Management:
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Aggregations:
Sea Level Rise