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|a Retrospective and prospective model situations of sea level rise impacts on Gulf of Mexico coastal marshes and forests in Waccassa Bay, Florida |h [electronic resource] |y English. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b Springer, |c 2011. |
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|a Climatic Change Volume 107 |y English. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a The State of Florida (USA) is especially threatened by sea level rise due to
extensive low elevation coastal habitats (approximately 8,000 km2 < 1 m above sea
level) where the majority of the human population resides. We used the Sea Level
Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) simulation to improve understanding of the
magnitude and location of these changes for 58,000 ha of theWaccasassa Bay region
of Florida’s central Gulf of Mexico coast. To assess how well SLAMM portrays
changes in coastal wetland systems resulting from sea level rise, we conducted a
hindcast in which we compared model results to 30 years of field plot data. Overall,
the model showed the same pattern of coastal forest loss as observed. Prospective
runs of SLAMM using 0.64 m, 1 m and 2 m sea level rise scenarios predict substantial
changes over this century in the area covered by coastal wetland systems including
net losses of coastal forests (69%, 83%, and 99%, respectively) and inland forests
(33%, 50%, and 88%), but net gains of tidal flats (17%, 142%, and 3,837%). One
implication of these findings at the site level is that undeveloped, unprotected
lands inland from the coastal forest should be protected to accommodate upslope
migration of this natural community in response to rising seas. At a broader scale,
our results suggest that coastal wetland systems will be unevenly affected across the
Gulf of Mexico as sea level rises. Species vulnerable to these anticipated changes will
experience a net loss or even elimination. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|t Retrospective and prospective model situations of sea level rise impacts on Gulf of Mexico coastal marshes and forests in Waccassa Bay, Florida |
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|a Florida Documents Collection. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15061962/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|3 Host material |u http://download.springer.com/static/pdf/538/art%253A10.1007%252Fs10584-011-0084-y.pdf?originUrl=http%3A%2F%2Flink.springer.com%2Farticle%2F10.1007%2Fs10584-011-0084-y&token2=exp=1434475028~acl=%2Fstatic%2Fpdf%2F538%2Fart%25253A10.1007%25252Fs10584-011-0084-y.pdf%3ForiginUrl%3Dhttp%253A%252F%252Flink.springer.com%252Farticle%252F10.1007%252Fs10584-011-0084-y*~hmac=a86abd7512dd425d1668927dc63f9d4827e0d5504954e37156c36ebfa7980213 |y Retrospective and prospective model situations of sea level rise impacts on Gulf of Mexico coastal marshes and forests in Waccassa Bay, Florida |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/19/62/00001/FI15061962thm.jpg |
