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|a A geological perspective on sea-level rise and its impacts along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b American Geophysical Union Publications, |c 2013. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a We evaluate paleo-, historical, and future sea-level rise along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast.
The rate of relative sea-level rise in New Jersey decreased from 3.5±1.0 mm/yr at 7.5–6.5 ka, to
2.2±0.8 mm/yr at 5.5–4.5 ka to a minimum of 0.9±0.4 mm/yr at 3.3–2.3 ka. Relative sea level rose
at a rate of 1.6±0.1 mm/yr from 2.2 to 1.2 ka (750 Common Era [CE]) and 1.4±0.1 mm/yr from 800 to
1800 CE. Geological and tide-gauge data show that sea-level rise was more rapid throughout the region
since the Industrial Revolution (19th century=2.7±0.4 mm/yr; 20th century=3.8±0.2 mm/yr). There
is a 95% probability that the 20th century rate of sea-level rise was faster than it was in any century in
the last 4.3 kyr. These records reflect global rise (∼1.7±0.2 mm/yr since 1880 CE) and subsidence from
glacio-isostatic adjustment (∼1.3±0.4 mm/yr) at bedrock locations (e.g., New York City). At coastal plain
locations, the rate of rise is 0.3–1.3 mm/yr higher due to groundwater withdrawal and compaction. We
construct 21st century relative sea-level rise scenarios including global, regional, and local processes. We
project a 22 cm rise at bedrock locations by 2030 (central scenario; low- and high-end scenarios range
of 16–38 cm), 40 cm by 2050 (range 28–65 cm), and 96 cm by 2100 (range 66–168 cm), with coastal
plain locations having higher rises (3, 5–6, and 10–12 cm higher, respectively). By 2050 CE in the central
scenario, a storm with a 10 year recurrence interval will exceed all historic storms at Atlantic City. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a Atlantic Coast (Middle Atlantic States). |
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|t A geological perspective on sea-level rise and its impacts along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15061865/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|3 Host material |u http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013EF000135/abstract |y A geological perspective on sea-level rise and its impacts along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/18/65/00001/FI15061865_thm.jpg |
