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|a Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Rise |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a Science Magazine Volume 321. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a On the basis of climate modeling and analogies with past conditions, the potential for multimeter
increases in sea level by the end of the 21st century has been proposed. We consider glaciological
conditions required for large sea-level rise to occur by 2100 and conclude that increases in excess
of 2 meters are physically untenable. We find that a total sea-level rise of about 2 meters by 2100
could occur under physically possible glaciological conditions but only if all variables are quickly
accelerated to extremely high limits. More plausible but still accelerated conditions lead to total
sea-level rise by 2100 of about 0.8 meter. These roughly constrained scenarios provide a “most
likely” starting point for refinements in sea-level forecasts that include ice flow dynamics. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|t Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Rise |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15061820/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|3 Host material |u http://www.sciencemag.org/content/321/5894/1340.full |y Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Rise |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/18/20/00001/Pfeffer et al_2008_Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Risethm. |
