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|a Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b American Association for the Advancement of Science, |c 2007-05-04. |
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|a Science Magazine Volume 316. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a Observations of the climate system are
crucial to establish actual climatic trends,
whereas climate models are used to
project how quantities like global mean air temperature
and sea level may be expected to respond
to anthropogenic perturbations of the
Earth's radiation budget. We compiled the most
recent observed climate trends for carbon dioxide
concentration, global mean air temperature,
and global sea level, and we compare these
trends to previous model projections as summarized
in the 2001 assessment report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) (1). The IPCC scenarios and projections
start in the year 1990, which is also the
base year of the Kyoto protocol, in which almost
all industrialized nations accepted a binding
commitment to reduce their greenhouse gas
emissions. Although published in 2001, these
model projections are essentially independent
from the observed climate data since 1990: Climate
models are physics-based models developed
over many years that are not “tuned” to
reproduce the most recent temperatures, and
global sea-level data were not yet available at
the time. The data now available raise concerns
that the climate system, in particular sea level,
may be responding more quickly than climate
models indicate. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a Emission Reduction, Greenhouse Gas. |
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|a Somerville, Richard C.J.. |
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|t Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15061813/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|3 Host material |u http://www.sciencemag.org/content/316/5825/709.abstract","http://www.sciencemag.org/content/316/5825/709.abstract |y Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/18/13/00001/Rahmstorf et al_2007_Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projectionsthm.jpg |
