A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise
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Material Information

Title:
A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise
Series Title:
Science Magazine Volume 315
Creator:
Rahmstorf, Stefan
Publisher:
American Association for the Advancement of Science
Publication Date:
Language:
English

Subjects

Subjects / Keywords:
Climate Change ( lcsh )
Sea Level Rise ( lcsh )
Global Warming ( lcsh )
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ( lcsh )

Notes

Abstract:
A semi-empirical relation is presented that connects global sea-level rise to global mean surface temperature. It is proposed that, for time scales relevant to anthropogenic warming, the rate of sea-level rise is roughly proportional to the magnitude of warming above the temperatures of the pre–Industrial Age. This holds to good approximation for temperature and sea-level changes during the 20th century, with a proportionality constant of 3.4 millimeters/year per °C. When applied to future warming scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, this relationship results in a projected sea-level rise in 2100 of 0.5 to 1.4 meters above the 1990 level. ( English )

Record Information

Source Institution:
Florida International University
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Sea Level Rise