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001        FI15060999_00001
005        20160901125355.0
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245 00 |a A geological perspective on potential future sea-level rise |h [electronic resource].
260        |a [S.l.] : |b Scientific Reports, |c 2013.
490        |a Scientific Reports Volume 3.
506        |a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights.
520 3    |a During ice-age cycles, continental ice volume kept pace with slow, multi-millennial scale, changes in climate forcing. Today, rapid greenhouse gas (GHG) increases have outpaced ice-volume responses, likely committing us to . 9 m of long-term sea-level rise (SLR). We portray a context of naturally precedented SLR from geological evidence, for comparison with historical observations and future projections. This context supports SLR of up to 0.9 (1.8) m by 2100 and 2.7 (5.0) m by 2200, relative to 2000, at 68% (95%) probability. Historical SLR observations and glaciological assessments track the upper 68% limit. Hence, modern change is rapid by past interglacial standards but within the range of ‘normal’ processes. The upper 95% limit offers a useful low probability/high risk value. Exceedance would require conditions without natural interglacial precedents, such as catastrophic ice-sheet collapse, or activation of major East Antarctic mass loss at sustained CO2 levels above 1000 ppmv.
533        |a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software.
650    0 |a Climatic changes.
650    0 |a Sea level rise.
650    0 |a Emission reduction.
650    0 |a Glaciology.
650        |a Greenhouse gas.
651    0 |a Antarctica.
700 1    |a Rohling, Eelco J..
700 1    |a Haigh, Ivan D..
700 1    |a Foster, Gavin L..
700 1    |a Roberts, Andrew P..
700 1    |a Grant, Katharine M..
773 0    |t A geological perspective on potential future sea-level rise
830    0 |a dpSobek.
830    0 |a Sea Level Rise.
852        |a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise
856 40 |u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15060999/00001 |y Click here for full text
856 42 |3 Host material |u http://www.nature.com/srep/2013/131212/srep03461/full/srep03461.html |y A geological perspective on potential future sea-level rise
992 04 |a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/09/99/00001/FI15060999_thm.jpg
997        |a Sea Level Rise


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