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|a Assessing future risk |h [electronic resource] |b Quantifying the effects of Sea Level Rise on Storm Surge Risk for the Southern Shores of Long Island, New York. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a Sea level rise threatens to increase the impacts of future storms and hurricanes
on coastal communities. However, many coastal hazard mitigation plans do not consider
sea level rise when assessing storm surge risk. Here we apply a GIS-based approach to
quantify potential changes in storm surge risk due to sea level rise on Long Island, New
York. We demonstrate a method for combining hazard exposure and community vulnerability
to spatially characterize risk for both present and future sea level conditions using
commonly available national data sets. Our results show that sea level rise will likely
increase risk in many coastal areas and will potentially create risk where it was not before.
We find that even modest and probable sea level rise (.5 m by 2080) vastly increases the
numbers of people (47% increase) and property loss (73% increase) impacted by storm
surge. In addition, the resulting maps of hazard exposure and community vulnerability
provide a clear and useful example of the visual representation of the spatial distribution of
the components of risk that can be helpful for developing targeted hazard mitigation and
climate change adaptation strategies. Our results suggest that coastal agencies tasked with
managing storm surge risk must consider the effects of sea level rise if they are to ensure
safe and sustainable coastal communities in the future. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a Geographic Information Systems. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15060981/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|3 Host material |u http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11069-011-0046-8#page-1 |y Assessing future risk |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/09/81/00001/FI15060981_thm.jpg |
