Position Analysis

Material Information

Title:
Position Analysis Changes to Antarctic Sea Ice- Impacts
Creator:
Antarctic Climate & Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre
Publisher:
The Antarctic Climate & Ecosystems Cooperative Resarch Centre
Publication Date:
Language:
English

Notes

Summary:
In Antarctica, the seasonal growth and decay of sea ice is one of the greatest changes on the surface of the Earth, and one that has an extraordinary influence on ocean circulation, global climate and Southern Ocean ecosystems. Sea ice is frozen seawater and is important because it: Plays a significant • role in driving global ocean circulation; • Is a key feature of Southern Ocean marine ecosystems; • Provides an insulating layer between atmosphere and ocean; and • Reflects a high percentage of incoming solar radiation. Two characteristics of sea ice – extent and thickness – are important indicators of the polar response to climate change. Sea ice extent is a measure of the limit to which sea ice extends from the poles and has been monitored from satellites on a daily basis in both hemispheres since 1979. This satellite data record shows that sea ice in the two polar regions has responded to climate change quite differently over the past three decades. The average annual sea ice extent in the Arctic has declined by 2.9% per decade since 1979 while summer extent has decreased dramatically by 11% per decade (Stroeve et al., 2007). In Antarctica however, the changes have been much more subtle and regionally variable, with a net increase of 1% per decade (Comiso and Nishio, 2008). The different responses in sea ice extent in the two polar regions appears to be a paradox in the climate change debate; however the changes are largely consistent with known climate processes (Overland, 2008). The small net increase in Antarctica belies the much larger regional differences that are linked to changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation, and in turn to CO2 increases in the atmosphere and a reduction in stratospheric ozone (Turner et al., 2009). The western Antarctic Peninsula region has shown a decrease in sea ice extent, consistent with the recent change to more northerly winds and the surface warming observed there, while there have been increases elsewhere including the Weddell and Ross Seas. While sea ice thickness is known to be sensitive to climate change it remains one of the most difficult of all climate parameters to measure. Currently there is no means to routinely measure and monitor sea ice thickness over largescales, although satellite radar and laser altimeters show great potential in this respect. To date, most of our knowledge on the changes in Arctic sea ice thickness comes from de-classified sonar data from military submarines. In the Antarctic, however, no such data are available, and equivalent instruments deployed on deep-ocean moorings are highly susceptible to destruction by drifting icebergs. Current climate models show large discrepancies and uncertainties in simulating the present-day extent and thickness of sea ice, and in predicting changes in both hemispheres. The observed decrease in the Arctic has occurred more rapidly than predicted by climate models, while the observed net increase and regional variability in the Antarctic was not predicted at all. Still, climate models predict that by 2100 Antarctic sea ice will reduce by 24% in total extent and 34% in total volume, with possible delays in observed reduction until stratospheric ozone recovers (Turner et al., 2009). While field studies have yielded extremely valuable information on sea ice characteristics, and satellite data have provided a detailed record of ice extent and concentration since the late 1970s, the Antarctic sea ice zone remains one of the most data sparse region on Earth.

Record Information

Source Institution:
Florida International University
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