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|a Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b Macmillan Publishers Limited, |c 2009. |
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|a Nature Geoscience |b Letters. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a Human-induced climate change could cause global sea-level
rise. Through the dynamic adjustment of the sea surface in
response to a possible slowdown of the Atlantic meridional
overturning circulation1,2, a warming climate could also affect
regional sea levels, especially in the North Atlantic region3,
leading to high vulnerability for low-lying Florida and western
Europe4–6. Here we analyse climate projections from a set
of state-of-the-art climate models for such regional changes,
and find a rapid dynamical rise in sea level on the northeast
coast of the United States during the twenty-first century.
For New York City, the rise due to ocean circulation changes
amounts to 15, 20 and 21 cm for scenarios with low, medium
and high rates of emissions respectively, at a similar magnitude
to expected global thermal expansion. Analysing one of the
climate models in detail, we find that a dynamic, regional rise
in sea level is induced by a weakening meridional overturning
circulation in the Atlantic Ocean, and superimposed on the
global mean sea-level rise. We conclude that together, future
changes in sea level and ocean circulation will have a greater
effect on the heavily populated northeastern United States
than estimated previously. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a Michael E. Schlesinger. |
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|t Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15060908/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|3 Host material |u http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v2/n4/full/ngeo462.html |y Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/09/08/00001/Yin et al_2009_Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the Unitedthm.jpg |