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|a Perception of climate change |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b National Academy of Science, |c 2012. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a “Climate dice,” describing the chance of unusually warm or cool
seasons, have become more and more “loaded” in the past 30 y,
coincident with rapid global warming. The distribution of seasonal
mean temperature anomalies has shifted toward higher temperatures
and the range of anomalies has increased. An important
change is the emergence of a category of summertime extremely
hot outliers, more than three standard deviations (3σ) warmer than
the climatology of the 1951–1980 base period. This hot extreme,
which covered much less than 1% of Earth’s surface during the base
period, now typically covers about 10% of the land area. It follows
that we can state, with a high degree of confidence, that extreme
anomalies such as those in Texas and Oklahoma in 2011 and
Moscow in 2010 were a consequence of global warming because
their likelihood in the absence of global warming was exceedingly
small. Wediscuss practical implications of this substantial, growing,
climate change. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15060328/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/03/28/00001/FI15060328_thm.jpg |
