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|a Limits to Economic Growth |h [electronic resource] |b Background Paper 2- Climate Change and the Florida Keys. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a The IPCC projections of global GDP and population in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (Nakicenovic and Swart 2000) apparently do not consider the possibility that a world with highly elevated temperatures and other consequences of climate change might find it difficult to grow at the rates projected. The scenario builders seem to have assumed that such problems can be solved through technology, which according to the SRES summary for policymakers was defined as “at least as important a driving force as demographic change and economic development.”
There is no discussion in the IPCC literature (that we have been able to find) of how seven billion people or more would be able to live comfortably, or at least tolerably, in the global growth scenario A1, in temperatures four or more degrees Celsius above pre‐industrial levels (comparable to the warming from the ice age to the 19th century). This might possibly work for the richest nations but it stretches credibility to extend the assumption to all nations – despite the embedded assertion that average incomes in developing and rich nations would converge in the high‐growth scenario A1. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a. |z Florida Keys (Fla.) |
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|a marine ecosystem management. |
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|a Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. |
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|a National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration Socioeconomic Research and Monitoring Program. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15060301/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/06/03/01/00001/Hoegh-Guldberg_2010_Climate Change and the Florida Keys6thm.jpg |
