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245 00 |a Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system |h [electronic resource].
260        |a [S.l.] : |b National Academy of Science, |c 2008-02-12.
490        |a Proceedings of the National Academy of Science.
506        |a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights.
520 3    |a The term ‘‘tipping point’’ commonly refers to a critical threshold at which a tiny perturbation can qualitatively alter the state or development of a system. Here we introduce the term ‘‘tipping element’’ to describe large-scale components of the Earth system that may pass a tipping point. We critically evaluate potential policy-relevant tipping elements in the climate system under anthropogenic forcing, drawing on the pertinent literature and a recent international workshop to compile a short list, and we assess where their tipping points lie. An expert elicitation is used to help rank their sensitivity to global warming and the uncertainty about the underlying physical mechanisms. Then we explain how, in principle, early warning systems could be established to detect the proximity of some tipping points.
533        |a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software.
650        |a climate change.
650        |a environmental policy.
650        |a weather cycles.
650        |a environmental change.
720        |a Timothy M. Lenton.
720        |a Hermann Held.
720        |a Elmar Kriegler.
720        |a Jim W. Hall.
720        |a Wolfgang Lucht.
720        |a Stefan Rahmstorf.
720        |a Hans Joachim Schellnhuber.
773 0    |t Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system
830    0 |a dpSobek.
830    0 |a Sea Level Rise.
852        |a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise
856 40 |u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15052532/00001 |y Click here for full text
856 42 |3 FULL TEXT- Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system |u http://www.pnas.org/content/105/6/1786.abstract |y Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system
992 04 |a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/05/25/32/00001/FI15052532_thm.jpg
997        |a Sea Level Rise


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