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|a Climate change and land use in Florida |h [electronic resource] |b Interdependencies and opportunities. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b Century Commission for a Sustainable Florida, |c 2007-06-30. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a Anthropogenic climate change is now widely regarded as possibly the most significant
challenge facing humanity. Climate change over the next 100 years and beyond will
affect virtually every aspect of living systems in Florida and the world. In June 2005,
eleven of the worlds leading national academies of science issued a joint statement noting
that it is imperative that we aggressively mitigate the causes of climate change and
prepare to adapt to a changing climate. On February 2, 2007, the United Nations
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued its fourth assessment report
(AR4) of the physical science of the earth’s climate stating that “most of the observed
increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid 20th Century is very likely due
to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations.” The panel
stated further that the “warming of the climate system is unequivocal” and that there is
“very high confidence that the globally averaged net effect of human activities since 1750
has been one of warming.” This report from Working Group I was followed in
subsequent months by assessments of impacts (Working Group II) and recommendations
for measures that could stabilize the climate system through mitigation of the greenhouse
gases (Working Group III). Over the last 100 years, the earth’s atmosphere has warmed
about 1.4oF (Hansen et al. 2005). There is broad scientific consensus that the greenhouse
gases (GHGs) must be reduced 60 to 80 percent relative to 2000 levels by 2050 (Socolow
and Pacala 2004) to avoid dangerous anthropogenic climate change (Hansen et al. 2007),
including sea-level rise of 3 ft or more (Rahmstorf 2007). Failure to mitigate
anthropogenic climate change could cost the human economy up to 20 percent of annual
world gross domestic product by 2100, arguably resulting in one of the greatest market
failures in history (Stern et al. 2006).
One effect of these assessments has been to move policy makers toward efforts to reduce
the production of GHGs and increase the potential for natural and managed systems to
mitigate climate change. Although Europe and the UK have made significant progress
toward developing tools for mitigation, the US has only recently begun to develop such
programs, largely through action at the state level. Responding to this call, Governor
Charlie Crist in his first state-of-the-state address proclaimed that Florida should become
a “leader” in addressing climate change, explicitly targeting Florida’s GHG emissions as
a focus of the state’s efforts. Since 2000, 20 states have created or begun development of
state climate action plans. As recently mandated by the legislature, the Florida
Department of Environmental Protection is conducting a greenhouse gas (GHG)
inventory for the state. The Governor recently committed Florida to join a coalition of
states belonging to a climate registry, and in July 2007, hosted a climate summit in
Miami to bring together stakeholders, scientists and prominent politicians. The Florida
Energy Commission and other state agencies are developing additional plans. Progress toward development of sustainable use of Florida’s social, natural, and
economic resources will be largely determined by how we respond to climate change. In
the following I will outline components of a state climate action plan as they relate to
land use. Such a plan should include more than the obvious elements of a GHG
inventory and tools for mitigation. Because of significant warming latent in the earth’s
climate, we must also plan for inevitable climate change. Thus elements of adaptation
should be part of any such plan. Here I will discuss specific areas related to land use
where Florida can enhance resilience in the face of anticipated changes in climate, while
developing the capacity to participate in carbon markets and support economic
development of the state. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15050398/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/05/03/98/00001/Mulkey_2007_Climate change and land use in Floridathm.jpg |