National Security Implications of Climate Change for U.S. Naval Forces

Material Information

Title:
National Security Implications of Climate Change for U.S. Naval Forces
Creator:
National Research Council
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C.
Publisher:
The National Academies Press
Publication Date:
Language:
English

Notes

Summary:
In response to the Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), the National Research Council appointed a committee operating under the auspices of the Naval Studies Board to study the national security implications of climate change for U.S. naval forces. In conducting its study, the committee found that even the most moderate current trends in climate, if continued, will present new national security challenges for the U.S. Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard.1 While the timing, degree, and consequence of future climate change impacts remain uncertain, many changes are already under way in regions around the world, such as in the Arctic, and call for action by U.S. naval leadership in response. The terms of reference (TOR) directed that the study be based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios and other peer-reviewed assessments. Therefore, the committee did not address the science of climate change or challenge the scenarios on which the committee’s findings and recommendations are based. The TOR directed the study to: 1. Examine the potential impact on U.S. future naval operations and capabilities as a result of climate change. . . . 2. Assess the robustness of the Department of Defense’s infrastructure for supporting U.S. future naval operations and capabilities in the context of potential climate change impacts. . . . 3. Determine the potential impact climate change will have on allied force operations and capabilities. . . . 4. Examine the potential impact on U.S. future naval antisubmarine warfare operations and capabilities in the world’s oceans as a result of climate change; specifically, the technical underpinnings for projecting U.S. undersea dominance in light of the changing physical properties of the oceans. This final report addresses both the near- and long-term implications for U.S. naval forces in each of the four areas of the TOR, and provides corresponding findings and recommendations.2,3 In an effort to identify areas that need action by U.S. naval leadership, this report and its findings and recommendations are organized around six discussion areas—all presented within the context of a changing climate. 1. Disputes of boundaries and exclusive economic zones as a result of new maritime transits and competition of new resources; 2. Strains on naval capabilities—given continuing first responder missions, and the opening of new international and territorial waters; 3. Vulnerabilities to naval coastal installations due to sea-level rise and increased storm surges; 4. Demands for establishing greater U.S., allied, and/or international maritime partnerships; 5. Impacts on the technical underpinnings that enable, in part, naval force capabilities, particularly those that operate and train in the Arctic; and 6. Investments for additional research and development that have implications for future naval operations and capabilities and might not be met by other groups pursuing climate-related research. In total, the conclusions from this study can be viewed in the context of six areas for action by U.S. naval leadership. These conclusions, along with their corresponding major findings and recommendations, are presented below. The Summary’s findings and recommendations are not presented in priority order but highlight conclusions reached in the report. As a result, not all of the report’s findings and recommendations are included in this Summary. However, the committee points out that all of the report’s recommendations are important. ( English )

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Florida International University
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Aggregations:
Sea Level Rise