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|a Regional temperature and precipitation changes under high-end ( ³4°C) global warming |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b The Royal Society, |c 2011. |
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|a Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society 369. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a Climate models vary widely in their projections of both global mean temperature
rise and regional climate changes, but are there any systematic differences in regional
changes associated with different levels of global climate sensitivity? This paper
examines model projections of climate change over the twenty-first century from the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report which used
the A2 scenario from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, assessing
whether different regional responses can be seen in models categorized as ‘high-end’
(those projecting 4◦C or more by the end of the twenty-first century relative to
the preindustrial). It also identifies regions where the largest climate changes are
projected under high-end warming. The mean spatial patterns of change, normalized
against the global rate of warming, are generally similar in high-end and ‘non-high-end’
simulations. The exception is the higher latitudes, where land areas warm relatively
faster in boreal summer in high-end models, but sea ice areas show varying differences
in boreal winter. Many continental interiors warm approximately twice as fast as
the global average, with this being particularly accentuated in boreal summer, and
the winter-time Arctic Ocean temperatures rise more than three times faster than the
global average. Large temperature increases and precipitation decreases are projected
in some of the regions that currently experience water resource pressures, including
Mediterranean fringe regions, indicating enhanced pressure on water resources in
these areas. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15050332/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/05/03/32/00001/FI15050332_thm.jpg |
