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|a The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b Institute of Physics Publishing, |c 2011-07-05. |
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|a Environmental Research Letters 6. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a Well informed decisions on climate policy necessitate simulation of the climate system for a
sufficiently wide range of emissions scenarios. While recent literature has been devoted to low
emissions futures, the potential for very high emissions has not been thoroughly explored. We
specify two illustrative emissions scenarios that are significantly higher than the A1FI scenario,
the highest scenario considered in past IPCC reports, and simulate them in a global climate
model to investigate their climate change implications. Relative to the A1FI scenario, our
highest scenario results in an additional 2 K of global mean warming above A1FI levels by
2100, a complete loss of arctic summer sea-ice by 2070 and an additional 43% sea level rise due
to thermal expansion above A1FI levels by 2100. Regional maximum temperature increases
from late 20th century values are 50–100% greater than A1FI increases, with some regions such as the Central US, the Tibetan plateau and Alaska showing a 300–400% increase above A1FI
levels. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|t The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15050331/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|3 FULL TEXT- The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios |u http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034005/meta |y The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/05/03/31/00001/FI15050331_thm.jpg |