Reasoning about climate uncertainty

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http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15042698/00001

Material Information

Title:

Reasoning about climate uncertainty

Series Title:

Climatic Change

Creator:

Judith Curry

Affiliation:

Georgia Institute of Technology -- School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences

Publisher:

Springer

Publication Date:

2011

Language:

English

Subjects

Subjects / Keywords:

climate change
unknownIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
hypothesis

Notes

Abstract:

This paper argues that the IPCC has oversimplified the issue of uncertainty in its Assessment Reports, which can lead to misleading overconfidence. A concerted effort by the IPCC is needed to identify better ways of framing the climate change problem, explore and characterize uncertainty, reason about uncertainty in the context of evidence-based logical hierarchies, and eliminate bias from the consensus building process itself.

Record Information

Source Institution:

Florida International University

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