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|a Modeled Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on the Frequency of Intense Atlantic Hurricanes |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a Several recent models suggest that the frequency of Atlantic tropical cyclones could decrease as the
climate warms. However, these models are unable to reproduce storms of category 3 or higher intensity.
We explored the influence of future global warming on Atlantic hurricanes with a downscaling strategy
by using an operational hurricane-prediction model that produces a realistic distribution of intense
hurricane activity for present-day conditions. The model projects nearly a doubling of the frequency
of category 4 and 5 storms by the end of the 21st century, despite a decrease in the overall frequency of
tropical cyclones, when the downscaling is based on the ensemble mean of 18 global climate-change
projections. The largest increase is projected to occur in the Western Atlantic, north of 20°N. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15042651/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/04/26/51/00001/FI15042651_thm.jpg |
