| 008 |
|
150512n^^^^^^^^xx^||||^o^^^^^|||^u^eng^d |
| 245 |
00 |
|a Decreasing trend of tropical cyclone frequency in 228-year high-resolution AGCM simulations |h [electronic resource]. |
| 260 |
|
|a [S.l.] : |b American Geophysical Union, |c 2012-10-10. |
| 490 |
|
|a Geophysical Research Letters Volume 39. |
| 506 |
|
|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
| 520 |
3 |
|a We conducted 228-year long, three-member ensemble
simulations using a high resolution (60 km grid size) global
atmosphere model, MRI-AGCM3.2, with prescribed sea
surface temperature and greenhouse gases and aerosols from
1872 to 2099. We found a clear decreasing trend of global
tropical cyclone (TC) frequency throughout the 228 years of
the simulation. We also found a significant multidecadal
variation (MDV) in the long term variation of Northern
Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere TC count in addition
to the decreasing trend. The decreasing trend and MDV in the
long term variation of TC count correspond well to a similar
decreasing trend andMDV of upward mass flux averaged over
the TC genesis region and active TC season. It has been shown
that the upward mass flux decreases primarily because the rate
of increase of dry static stability, which is close to that of surface
specific humidity, is much larger than the rate of increase
of precipitation, which is nearly the same as that of atmospheric
radiative cooling. Thus, it is suggested that the decreasing trend
of TC count is mainly caused by the decreasing trend of
upward mass flux associated with the increasing dry static
stability. |
| 533 |
|
|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
| 852 |
|
|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
| 856 |
40 |
|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15042565/00001 |y Click here for full text |
| 992 |
04 |
|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/04/25/65/00001/FI15042565_thm.jpg |
