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- Permanent Link:
- http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI13010982/00001
Notes
- Summary:
- This study examines the disaster risks that North Africa’s coastal cities will face by 2030. The document discusses urban risk assessments as well as adaptation and resilience responses for the cities of Alexandria (Egypt), Casablanca (Morocco), Tunis (Tunisia), and the Bouregreg Valley (located between Rabat and Sale in Morocco). Between now and 2030, the study estimates that the risk of tsunami/marine submersion, coastal erosion, and water scarcity will shift from low to high in Alexandria. Seismicity/ground instability and tsunami/marine submersion will increase from low risk to high risk, while the risk levels of coastal erosion and flooding will shift from high to very high in Tunis. The risk of coastal erosion and flooding in Casablanca is currently high and expected to stay that way. And the risk of tsunami/marine submersion will increase by 2030 in Bouregreg Valley, while the risk of flooding will be very high by 2030 (p.1). The document notes two main dynamics contributing to the rising risk levels of several hazards in the North Africa’s cities: (i) climate change, and (ii) rapid urban population growth. The expected population increase from 60 to 100 million in the next twenty years will pose an additional risk in the context of increasing natural hazards. In the section covering the three cities and the Bouregreg Valley, the document examines patterns of urban growth, key risks, as well as adaptation and resilience responses (pp.6-23). In terms of making cities resilient to natural hazards, the study contends that progress is needed in three overlapping spheres: (i) urban design and planning, (ii) institutional reform in terms of improving efficiency and coordination in the management of disaster risks, and (iii) improvements in urban infrastructure (p.4). For Alexandria, the study urges moving urban development away from risky areas. For Casablanca, it underlines the rising risk levels related to flooding, coastal erosion, and marine submersion. For Tunis, climate change is expected to be a major dynamic impacting coastal erosion and flooding. Finally, the study urges immediate action in terms of addressing flood and marine submersion risks in the Bouregreg Valley, which envisions about 140,000 inhabitants and 90,000 new jobs in the near future, through urban planning. ( English,English,English,, )
- Subject:
- Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Adaptation
- Scope and Content:
- Overview: urban coastal risks on the rise p. 1; Steering urban growth away from areas at risk p. 6; Confronting flooding, coastal erosion and marine submersion p. 11; Addressing multiple risks, onset of climate change p. 16; Incorporating risk reduction in the planning p. 20
- Citation/Reference:
- Bigio, A.G. (2011). Climate Change Adaptation and Natural Disasters Preparedness in the Coastal Cities of North Africa. The World Bank, and Marseille Center for Mediterranean Integration.
Record Information
- Source Institution:
- Florida International University
- Rights Management:
- The World Bank: The World Bank authorizes the use of this material subject to the terms and conditions on its website, http://www.worldbank.org/terms
- Resource Identifier:
- FI13010982
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