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- Permanent Link:
- http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI13010967/00001
Notes
- Summary:
- This document presents the participatory scenario development (PSD) approach as applied to adaptation to climate change efforts in Mozambique, Ghana, and Bangladesh. The study seeks to assist decision makers in developing countries in gaining a clearer understanding of the climate-related risks they face, and how to integrate adaptation strategies into their development planning both at the national budgetary and community levels. The study has two key priorities. The first is a focus on increasing local adaptive capacity. Often adaptation to climate change is made a priority at the global, regional, or national levels without addressing local diversity, distinct capacities, and particular development priorities. The second area of emphasis is vulnerable and disadvantaged socioeconomic groups. These two orientations highlight a central theme of the PSD approach, which is examining what adaptation entails in particular contexts and for distinct groups of people. This leads to policies that are likely to build on adaptive responses that are already occurring within vulnerable communities such as reducing dependence on climate-sensitive livelihood sources and livelihood diversification. PSD incorporates stakeholders of varied sorts in a process of exploring the effects of different responses to emerging challenges in order to determine how these groups perceive the range of policy options available and the means of implementing them. These activities are important for understanding climate change risks more comprehensively. They stimulate discussion directed at finding locally oriented solutions to a growing problem. The document presents how scenarios are developed, with country scenarios presented in the final section. The document calls for adaptive measures such as growing more climate-resistant crops and collecting rainwater to be scaled up and applied across the developing world. It emphasizes the need to improve the governance of vital natural resources, focusing on conservation and sustainable management. And finally, it advocates for investing in disaster risk reduction and disaster management in order to respond to the consequences of climate change. What makes PSD a powerful tool in such efforts is that it promotes equitable access to the policy decision-making process, bridging the gap between stakeholders at high-level policy crafting positions and those at the community level of implementation. This narrows the distance between abstract planning and practical day-to-day experiences living in the context of vulnerability. ( English,English,English )
- Subject:
- Climate Change Adaptation
- Scope and Content:
- Acronyms and Abbre viations p. vii; Acknowledgments p. viii; Executive Summary p. ix; 1. Introduction and Overview of Approach p. 1; Summary of EACC Project and the Social Component p. 1; Participatory Scenario Development Approach as a Part of the EACC-Social Study p. 2; 2. Theoretical Foundations p. 4; 2.1 Overview of Participatory Scenario Development p. 4; 2.2 Key Questions for EACC-Social Investigation and Implications for PSD Design p. 7; 3. Workshop Design and Process p. 10; 3.1 Original Design of Workshops: Key Exercises p. 10; 3.2 Capacity-Building of Country Teams p. 12; 3.3 Workshop planning with In-country Consultant Teams and World Bank Staff p. 13; 3.4 Design Revisions: Adaptation Options and Adaptation Pathways p. 14; 3.5 Inputs to Workshops: Development and Use of Visualizations p. 16; Topographic Maps: p. 17; Social Issues Poster: p. 17; Impact and Adaptation Cards: p. 17; Climate Change Poster: p. 18; 3.6 Other Inputs to Workshops: EACC Sector Presentations; Local PSD Results p. 19; 3.7 Description of Workshop Participants p. 19; 4. Country Results and Discussion p. 21; 4.1 Results from Ghana p. 21; 4.1.1 Understanding Current Challenges and Vulnerabilities p. 21; 4.1.2 Current and future impacts of changing climate and climatic variability p. 22; 4.1.3 Identifying Adaptation Options p. 23; 4.1.4 Developing Adaptation Pathways and their Relevance to Vulnerable People p. 24; 4.2 Results from Mozambique p. 26; 4.2.1 Understanding Current Challenges and Vulnerabilities p. 26; 4.2.2 Current and Future Impacts of Changing Climate and Climatic Variability p. 26; 4.2.3 Identifying Adaptation Options p. 28; 4.2.4 Developing Adaptation Pathways and their Relevance to Vulnerable People p. 29; 4.3 Results from Bangladesh p. 30; 4.3.1 Understanding Current Challenges and Vulnerabilities p. 30; 4.3.2 Current And Future Impacts of Changing Climate and Climatic Variability p. 30; 4.3.3 Identifying Adaptation Options p. 32; 4.3.4 Developing Adaptation Pathways and their Relevance to Vulnerable People p. 33; 4.4 Similarities and Differences Between PSD Workshop Processes and Results p. 34; 4.5 Key Sectoral Themes Emerging p. 35; 4.6 Cross-sectoral Emphases p. 36; 4.7 Identification of Topics Addressed Briefly or not Arising in Workshops p. 36; 4.8 Relative Prevalence of “Hard” versus “Soft” Adaptation Options p. 37; 4.9 Discussions on Physical and Social Vulnerability p. 38; 4.10 Sequencing, Leveraging and Tradeoffs among Adaptation Options p. 39; 4.11 Policy and Institutions: Strengthening Adaptive Capacity p. 40; 5. Key Me thodological Advances p. 42; 5.1 Comments on Key Methodological Advances p. 42; 5.2 Comparison with PSD Exercises Conducted Elsewhere p. 43; 5.3 Scope for Integration with other Research Elements p. 44; 6. Conclusions and Recommendation p. 46; 6.1 Summary of Findings p. 46; 6.2 Congruence with National Plans including NAPAs p. 48; 6.3 PSD Design Considerations and Key Elements of PSD Workshop for Climate Adaptation p. 49; 6.4 Recommendations for Pro-Poor Adaptation in Workshop Countries p. 51; 6.5 Recommendations on Integrating PSD Approaches with other Research Tools p. 52; 6.6 Recommendations on Use of PSD Approaches in Donor and National Planning Contexts p. 52; References p. 54; Appendices p. 56; Appendix 1. List of Visualizations Developed p. 56; Appendix 2. Example of Participant Handout (Bangladesh) p. 57; Appendix 3. Sample Workshop Agenda (First National Workshop) p. 61; Appendix 4. Sample Workshop Agenda (Second National Workshop) p. 61; Appendix 5. Sample Local Workshop Agenda p. 62; Appendix 6. Email Update Provided to all Global Teams (August 2009) p. 63; Appendix 7. Excerpts from Commentary Provided to Support PSD Workshops in Ethiopia p. 65; Tables: Table 3.1 List of PSD Workshops Conducted Between June–October, 2009 p. 20; Table 4.1 Key Drivers of Vulnerability to Climate Change in Ghana p. 21; Table 4.2 Key Impacts and their Consequences p. 23; Table 4.3 Key Elements of the Adaptation For Ghana p. 25; Table 4.4 Key Impacts and Associated Consequences of Climate Change in Mozambique p. 27; Table 4.5 P roposed Adaptation Pathways (per Sector) for Mozambique p. 29; Table 4.6 Key Drivers of Vulnerability to Climate Change in Bangladesh p. 31; Table 4.7 National Adaptation Pathways for Bangladesh p. 33; Table 4.8 Overview of Adaptation Actions in Agriculture and Water Resource Management in the Studied Countries p. 35; Table 4.9 Examples of Complementarities between Hard and Soft Adaptation Measures in Agriculture and Water Resources Management in the Three Countries p. 37; Table 4.10 Examples of Hard and Soft Adaptation Measures in Agriculture and Water Resources Management in the three Countries p. 38; Table 4.11 Connecting Adaptation Responses Focused on Water Management, Agriculture and Social Security in the Studied Countries p. 39; Table 6.1 O verview of Short-Measures in all Three C p. 49; Figures: Figure 1.1. Schematic Methodology (Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change Study) p. 2; Figure 2.1. Examples of Outcomes of Vision Development in Hungary and for Asia. p. 8; Figure 3.1. Main Elements of the PSD Workshop Design p. 11; Figure 3.2. Future Vision (left) and Impacts of Climate Change and Adaptation Options (right) for Northwest of Bangladesh (2050) p. 12; Figure 3.3. PSD Workshop Structure for Phase II Workshops p. 15; Figure 3.4. Examples of Impact and Adaptation Cards Used in Ghana p. 18
- Citation/Reference:
- Bizikova, L., Boardley, S., & Mead, S. (2010). Participatory scenario development approaches for identifying pro-poor adaptation options. The World Bank
Record Information
- Source Institution:
- Florida International University
- Rights Management:
- The material in this publication is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all of this work without permission may be a violation of applicable law. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank encourages dissemination of its work and will normally grant permission to reproduce portions of the work promptly. For permission to photocopy or reprint any part of this work, please send a request with complete information to the Copyright Clearance Center Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA; telephone 978-750-4470; Internet: www.copyright.com
- Resource Identifier:
- FI13010967
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