This project develops a method which has proven successful in terrestrial ecosystem planning, but has not yet been adopted in marine planning contexts: spatial scenario simulation. This approach first develops a set of “alternative futures” and examines their effects on natural resources. It then couples these expected outcomes against a number of adaptation strategies to plan for future conditions then tests the effectiveness of a set of potential management actions across this range of conditions. The scenarios are tied to IPCC scenarios, and they also encompass a discrete set of potential management strategies.