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The concept of peak oil is being buried in North Dakota, which is now leading theUS to be the fastest growing oil producer in the world. The belief that global oilproduction has peaked, or is on the cusp of doing so, has underpinned much of crudeoil’s decade-long rally (setting aside the 2008 sell-off). The belief was bolstered by the repeated failure of supply to live up to the optimistic forecasts put forward by variousgovernmental and international energy agencies. The IEA, the industry benchmark,made a habit of putting forth forecasts for the coming year of big gains in non-OPECsupply, only to spend the next 18 months revising those forecasts lower.

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